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　A m id

　C a m p a ign

　T u r m o il ,

　B i de n

　H o l ds W i de L e a ds on

　C o r on a v ir u s ,

　U n if y in g

　t h e

　C ou n tr y

　M os t

　T r u m p ,

　B i d en

　su pp or t er s

　SA y

　t hei r

　d i ff er en c e s

　g o

　b ey on d pol i c i es

　t o

　‘ cor e

　A m er i c A n

　v A l u e s

　A n d

　g OA l s’

　The 2020 presidential campaign has been repeatedly rocked by seismic events – from the outbreak of a devastating pandemic to President Donald Trump contracting COVID- 19. Yet in at least two important respects, not much has changed: Joe Biden continues to hold sizable advantages over Trump on most major issues and key personal traits, as well as in overall voter preferences. And voters continue to be highly focused on the election and attach great importance to its outcome.

　With less than a month to go before the election, a majority of registered voters (57%) say they are very or somewhat confident in Biden to handle the public health impact of the coronavirus, while 40% express a similar level of confidence in Trump. In June, Biden held a narrower, 11 percentage point lead on handling the coronavirus outbreak (52% Biden, 41% Trump).

　At a time of deep political divisions and partisan antipathy, voters are far more likely to express confidence in Biden than Trump to unify the country. Half of voters (50%) say they are confident in Biden to “bring the country closer together,” compared with just 30% who express confidence in Trump.

　The new survey by Pew Research Center, Biden

　has

　overall

　lead

　over

　Trump

　and holds

　advantages

　on

　most

　issues

　%

　of

　r eg ist e r e d

　voters

　w h o

　s ay, i f t he e lectio n wer e h eld tod ay, th ey would

　vote

　f or

　…

　NET

　Trump/Lean Trump

　Biden/Lean Biden

　Other

　All voters 42 52

　6

　 %

　of

　r eg ist e r e d

　vot e rs

　w h o

　a r e very /somew ha t confident t ha t

　 can do

　each of

　t he f ollowin g

　 Note: Based on registered voters. Source: Survey of U.S. adults conducted Sept. 30-Oct. 5, 2020. PEW RESEARCH CENTER

　conducted Sept. 30-Oct. 5 among 11,929 U.S. adults, including 10,543 registered voters, finds that

　 Biden maintains an overall lead in voter preferences: 52% of registered voters say if the election were held today, they would vote for Biden or lean toward voting for him, while 42% support or lean toward voting for Trump. Another 4% of voters back Libertarian Jo Jorgensen, while 1% support Green Party candidate Howie Hawkins in the 2020 election. (See detailed tables for full demographic breaks on voter preferences.)

　The survey was in the field when Trump announced on Twitter, early on the morning of Oct. 2, that he and first lady Melania Trump had contracted COVID-19. There are no significant differences in voter preferences, or in confidence in the two candidates to handle the impact of the coronavirus, before and after his announcement.

　Trump’s handling of the nation’s economy remains a relative strong point. About half of voters (52%) express confidence in Trump to make good decisions about economic policy, one of the highest shares expressing confidence in the president on any of the six issues on the survey. However, about as many voters (51%) have confidence in Biden on the economy.

　Since summer, there has been some improvement in views of the nation’s economy. Among all voters, 35% say economic conditions are excellent or good, up from 28% in June. However, this change has come almost entirely among Trump supporters. And the gap in economic perceptions, already wide, has grown much wider. Two-thirds (67%) of Trump supporters now say that economic conditions are excellent or good, compared with 51% who said this in June. Just 11% of Biden supporters view economic conditions positively, which is little changed from four months ago (9%).

　The survey finds that voters view Biden much more positively than Trump for compassion, honesty and being a good role model. Nearly twice as many voters say “compassionate” describes Biden very or fairly well than say it applies to Trump (67% vs. 34%). More than half of voters (53%) say Biden is honest, compared with 35% who describe Trump as honest. And far more voters say Biden is a good role model (54% vs. 28%).

　3

　The gap is narrower on other personal attributes. Biden holds a narrow 6-point edge in “courageous” (54% Biden, 48% Trump); slightly more say Trump than Biden is mentally e

　sharp (50% Trump, 46% n

　Biden). Among six personal traits included, Trump holds n

　his widest edge in standing up

　6

　for his beliefs: 69% say this describes Trump very or fairly n

　8 well, compared with 61% who say it describes Biden well. n

　The share of Biden supporters who back him strongly has p increased since August, though he still trails Trump in strong p support. A 57% majority of voters who favor Biden say they support him strongly. Biden drew strong backing from fewer than half of his

　supporters (46%) two months ago. About two-thirds of those who back Trump (68%) say they support him strongly.

　As was the case in the summer, voters’ preferences – regardless of whom they favor – remain very much centered on Trump. Just 36% of Biden voters view their vote more as an expression of support for the former vice president; 63% view it as vote against Trump. By contrast, 71% of Trump supporters say their vote is a vote for Trump. These views have changed only modestly since June.

　The supporters of both candidates remain highly engaged in the election. Identical shares of registered voters who favor Trump and Biden (71% each) say they have given a lot of thought to the candidates running for president. And nearly eight-in-ten voters (78%) – again, comparable majorities of both candidates’ supporters – say it “really matters” who wins. Far

　more

　voters

　describe

　Biden

　than

　Trump

　as compassionate

　and

　a

　good

　role

　model

　%

　of

　r eg ist e r e d

　vot e rs

　w h o

　sa y

　d e scrib e s

　each can did a t e ve r y

　or fa ir ly

　well

　Very Fairly NET Advantag

　Trump

　15

　19

　34

　Bide

　Biden 35 33

　67

　+3

　 Trump

　8

　 20

　28

　 Bide A

　good

　role

　model

　Biden 25 29 54

　+2

　 Trump

　12

　23

　35

　 Bide

　Biden 23 31 53

　+1

　 Trump 31 17 48

　Bide Courageous

　Biden 23 31 54

　+6

　 Trump 30 21 50

　Tru

　Biden 14 33 46

　+4

　Stands

　up

　for

　Trump 46 23

　69

　Tru what

　he

　believes

　in

　Biden 30 31 61

　 +8

　Note: Based on registered voters. Source: Survey of U.S. adults conducted Sept. 30-Oct. 5, 2020. PEW RESEARCH CENTER

　 While voters on both sides share a sense of the importance of the election, they also share concern about the country’s future if the opposing candidate wins. Fully 89% of Trump supporters say that if Biden wins, they not only would be very concerned over the country’s direction, they believe it would lead to “lasting harm” for the country. A nearly identical majority of Biden supporters (90%) say Trump’s election would result in lasting harm to the United States.

　And voters who support both Trump and Biden say their differences extend beyond policies to disagreements over core values. Overwhelming shares of voters who support each candidate say that, when asked to think about those who favor their opposing candidate, they not only have different views on politics and policies, they also have “fundamental disagreements on core American values and goals.”

　Roughly eight-in-ten of those who support Biden (80%) and Trump (77%) say they fundamentally disagree about core values; only about one-in-five say their differences are limited to politics and policies.

　However, there is a widespread sense among voters that if their candidate wins the election, the next president should primarily focus on the concerns of all Americans, not just those who voted for him. This view – like the belief that the country may face lasting harm if the opposing candidate wins – is shared widely among the supporters of both candidates. Fully 89% of Biden supporters and 86% of Trump supporters say that if their candidate is victorious, he should focus primarily on the concerns of all Americans, even if it means disappointing some of his supporters. Only

　about

　one-in-five

　Trump

　and

　Biden

　supporters

　say they

　share

　the

　same

　core

　American

　values

　and

　goals

　%

　of

　r eg ist e r e d

　vot e rs

　w h o

　sa y …

　 Not only do we have

　We have different priorities different priorities when it

　when it comes to politics, comes to politics, but we

　but we share a fundamental fundamentally disagree

　commitment to the same about core American values

　core American values Views of Trump supporters 80

　18

　among Biden voters

　Views of Biden supporters among Trump voters 77

　22

　Notes: Based on registered voters. No response answers not shown. Source: Survey of U.S. adults conducted Sept. 30-Oct. 5, 2020. PEW RESEARCH CENTER

　 1. The

　Trump-Biden

　presidential

　contest

　With less than a month until Election Day, Joe Biden maintains his lead over Donald Trump in the presidential race. Today, 52% of registered voters say that if the election were held today, they would cast their vote for Biden; a smaller share of registered voters say they would cast their ballot for Trump (42%). Jo Jorgensen captures 4% of registered voters while Howie Hawkins garners 1% support.

　As was the case in 2016 at a similar point in the presidential campaign, voters feel certain about their choices: 89% of Biden voters say they are certain to support their preferred candidate; 87% of Trump voters say the same. Only small shares of either candidate’s supporters say there is a chance they will change their mind (less than 10% of each).

　Biden

　maintains

　lead

　over

　Trump;

　most voters

　are

　certain

　about

　their

　choice

　%

　o f r eg ister e d

　voters

　w h o

　s ay, i f t he e lectio n wer e h eld tod ay, th ey would

　vote

　f or

　…

　%

　w h o

　sa y, w hen it

　c om e s

　to

　t he ir

　can did a t e pr efe r ence …

　 Notes: Based on registered voters. No answer responses not shown. Source: Survey of U.S. adults conducted Sept. 30-Oct. 5, 2020. PEW RESEARCH CENTER

　 Trump, however, continues to hold an advantage in the share of his voters who say they support him strongly ...

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